2 swing districts in New York split as GOP incumbents fight to hold seats

Two swing districts successful New York look to beryllium split, arsenic GOP first-term incumbents conflict to clasp their House seats. 

Republican Rep. Nick LaLota holds a three-point lead complete Democrat challenger, erstwhile CNN anchor John Avlon, successful New York's 1st Congressional District, which includes astir of Suffolk County connected eastbound Long Island. LaLota has 47% support, while Avlon has 44%, according to a caller Newsday/Siena College poll. 

Rep. Anthony D'Esposito, nan first-term Republican representing New York’s 4th Congressional District encompassing cardinal and confederate Nassau County connected Long Island, is down by 12 percent points. The canvass recovered 53% of apt voters successful nan territory support Democrat challenger, erstwhile Hempstead Town Supervisor Laura Gillen, while 41% support D'Esposito, who antecedently served connected Hempstead Town Council. 

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Rep. Anthony D'Esposito, R-N.Y., arrives for a gathering of Republicans connected Capitol Hill connected Oct. 24, 2023. D'Esposito is nan GOP campaigner successful New York's District 4. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

Their title is simply a rematch from 2022, erstwhile D'Esposito edged a slim triumph complete Gillen by 4 points. 

The mostly of voters successful nan 1st Congressional District, which includes nan Hamptons and agrarian farmland, supported erstwhile President Donald Trump successful 2020 and 2016, and Avlon has faced questions complete nan grade of his residency successful nan district. The title moved from leaning Republican to apt Republican, according to nan Fox News Power Ranking.

Rep. Nick LaLota, R-N.Y., speaks during a news conference, July 14, 2023 connected Capitol Hill successful Washington. LaLota is nan Republican campaigner successful New York's 1st District. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File)

According to nan Newsday/Siena College poll, Vice President Kamala Harris is up of Trump by 1 percent constituent successful LaLota's district. In D'Esposito's district, nan canvass shows Harris up of Trump, 54-42%. 

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Laura Gillen, Democratic campaigner for New York's 4th Congressional District, attends a run rally pinch House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., successful Hempstead, New York, connected Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, a Democrat who has represented New York since 2009, is starring successful some districts. The canvass besides showed that 55% of apt voters successful New York's 1st District and 49% of apt voters successful New York's 4th District position Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul arsenic unfavorable. Hochul is not up for re-election until 2026. 

John Avlon attends The Future Of Democracy pinch Garry Kasparov and John Avlon astatine nan 92NY, New York connected May 14, 2023 successful New York City. (Jason Mendez/Getty Images)

Eleven districts wrong a 90-mile thrust of Manhattan are expected to beryllium among nan country’s astir intimately contested House races connected Election Day and could determine which statement controls nan U.S. House. 

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The astir contiguous circle starts successful nan Long Island suburbs, cuts done Connecticut and New York’s Hudson River Valley, past carves done eastbound Pennsylvania earlier curling backmost into New Jersey. Trump struggled successful nan area extracurricular of New York City successful 2020, but Republicans picked up wins location successful nan 2022 midterm elections.

Fox News' Remy Numa and The Associated Press contributed to this report.