CNN polling guru makes bold prediction about a 'sweep' of the swing states for Trump or Harris

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  • The winning campaigner will apt 'sweep' nan electoral college, Harry Enten said  
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By Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter In Washington, D.C., For Dailymail.Com

Published: 17:21 EDT, 24 October 2024 | Updated: 17:45 EDT, 24 October 2024

A CNN expert believes it's apt that either Donald Trump aliases Kamala Harris will 'sweep' nan battleground states. 

CNN's polling guru Harry Enten revealed Thursday that his election model suggests nan statesmanlike title will not beryllium arsenic adjacent arsenic immoderate think. 

Despite galore polls showing nan race successful battleground states - and nationwide - being virtually tied, nan expert suggested nan title could really extremity successful a landslide.

When asked by anchor John Berman astir nan 'historically close' race, Enten suggested 1 campaigner could tally distant pinch it.  

The pollster admitted it is 'more apt than not' nan statesmanlike title will consequence successful an 'electoral assemblage blowout.' 

CNN's Harry Enten said Thursday he expects an electoral 'blowout' aft antecedently believing nan title would beryllium historically close

'We've sewage little than 2 weeks to spell successful this election, and we've been telling you really adjacent it is. Historically close, person than ever,' Berman began earlier asking, 'What if it's not?'

Enten past launched into a lengthy explanation.  

There is simply a '60 percent chance that nan victor of this predetermination gets astatine slightest 300 electoral votes versus conscionable a 40 percent chance that nan victor ends up getting little than 300 electoral votes.'

'So for each nan talk that we've had astir this predetermination being historically close, which it is, chances are nan victor will still really people a comparative blowout successful nan electoral college,' he explained. 

Enten besides admitted to having predicted aggregate times earlier that nan title will beryllium very close, but nan caller outputs from his exemplary are showing its now apt that 1 campaigner will garner 300 electoral assemblage votes. 

The period to triumph nan presidency is 270 electoral assemblage votes. 

Battleground states for illustration Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona and Michigan could each spell 1 way, Enten said.

'If you look crossed nan 7 cardinal plaything states, nan 7 closest states, successful each of them nan separator correct now is nether 2 points,' nan CNN expert continued. 

'But support successful mind, polling ain't perfect, my beloved friends. On mean since 1972 successful nan battleground states, successful nan cardinal plaything states, nan mean correction successful nan cardinal plaything states is 3.4 points.' 

The expert further described situations wherever candidates who get underestimated successful 1 plaything authorities are underestimated successful astir of nan plaything states. 

He later pointed to Obama's 2012 triumph and Trump's 2016 triumph arsenic grounds that underestimations successful 1 authorities thin to beryllium revealed successful others arsenic well. 

'So this clip around, don’t beryllium amazed if nan plaything authorities polls, erstwhile they underestimate 1 candidate, they underestimate each of them successful nan states. And that would lead to a comparative Electoral College blowout, pinch 1 of nan candidates winning astatine slightest 300 electoral votes,' Enten continued. 

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