Competitive Virginia House race tied as Republican incumbent battles challenger

The Republican’s lead has tightened since nan aforesaid canvass successful mid-September erstwhile Kiggans was 5 points up of Smasal. The margins of correction for some polls were 3.9 percent points. 

The territory centered astir Virginia Beach that includes Chesapeake, Suffolk, Isle of Wight and Virginia’s eastbound statement is considered 1 of nan astir competitory successful nan state. Both Republicans and Democrats person cited it arsenic among those captious to securing power of nan House for nan adjacent 2 years. 

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Home to nan largest naval base successful nan country, nan district’s voting organization is heavy progressive work and retired miliary, and some candidates are veterans. Of apt voters, 46% trusted Kiggans much to grip subject and veteran’s issues, compared to 42% who trusted Smasal more, according to nan poll. 

Rep. Jen Kiggans, R-Virginia, speaks to reporters during a news convention aft nan transition of nan National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) astatine nan U.S. Capitol Building connected July 14, 2023, successful Washington, D.C. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The canvass recovered Smasal is trusted more, 49% to 35%, to grip "reproductive rights." 

The territory has flipped betwixt reddish and bluish doubly already complete nan past six years. 

Fox News Power Rankings has nan territory leaning reddish this predetermination cycle.  

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The canvass showed Vice President Harris 2 points up of erstwhile President Trump among apt voters successful Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District. The thin of nan territory shifted much to nan correct aft it was redrawn pursuing nan 2020 census, but President Biden still won it by 2 points. 

Republican legislature nominee, authorities Sen. Jen Kiggans, celebrates her triumph during an predetermination nighttime arena connected Nov. 8, 2022, successful Virginia Beach, Virginia. Kiggans defeated incumbent Rep. Elaine Luria.  (Nathan Howard/Getty Images)

"If this separator holds, I deliberation we’ll spot thing akin for Harris" statewide, Rebecca Bromley-Trujillo, investigation head for nan Wason Center, told nan Washington Post. "Fundamentally, it’s going to beryllium astir really good Harris performs successful nan state," she said. "If she does really well, Cotter Smasal has a chance … if we’re seeing really precocious Democratic turnout and suppressed Republican turnout."

In 2021, Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin secured nan territory by 11 points. Kiggans bested Democratic incumbent Rep. Elaine Luria by 3 points. The caller canvass showed incumbent Democrat Sen. Tim Kaine 7 points up of Republican challenger Hung Cao among apt voters successful Virginia's 2nd district.