Amid an election-defining gender spread that is now tied for nan largest this year, nan already close presidential race betwixt Kamala Harris and Donald Trump has go person still.
But ballot differences successful nan 2024 predetermination betwixt men and women are not conscionable crosstabs connected a canvass memo. They bespeak divergent attitudes astir larger societal matters, specified arsenic gender equality successful nan U.S. More immediately, they people differences successful really candidates are seen, pinch much women saying only Harris has nan cognitive wellness to service and much men reasoning Trump would beryllium a "strong leader."
Here's 1 example. Men are much apt to opportunity efforts successful nan U.S. to beforehand gender equality person gone excessively acold of late. When they do, they're voting overwhelmingly for Trump.
Women are much apt to opportunity those efforts haven't gone acold enough. Voters who opportunity this are overwhelmingly for Harris.
And connected this campaigner assessment: women are a afloat 10 points much apt than men to opportunity that only Kamala Harris has nan intelligence and cognitive wellness to service arsenic president, and Trump does not.
Men are little apt than women to deliberation Harris will beryllium a beardown leader.
But a sizable mostly of men deliberation Trump will beryllium a beardown leader.
For some men and women who deliberation Harris would beryllium a beardown leader, a 4th opportunity it is because she is simply a woman. For those who deliberation Harris won't beryllium a beardown leader, astir 1 successful 5 opportunity it's astatine slightest partially because she is simply a woman.
In all, it nets retired to moreover — and to an even-tighter contest. It's tied crossed nan composite battleground states collectively, and Harris is down to conscionable a +1 successful nationalist ballot preference. (Harris had erstwhile been astatine +3 successful nan battlegrounds successful September and it narrowed to +1 2 weeks ago. Trump has incrementally erased a 4-point nationalist separator Harris had aft their debate.)
In individual CBS estimates from nan circumstantial battlegrounds, it's besides efficaciously tied. For context, successful caller history, Democrats person needed a larger nationalist polling lead to connote competitory Electoral College chances crossed nan battlegrounds because truthful galore of their nationalist votes person travel from larger, safely bluish coastal states. But this year, astatine slightest truthful far, we spot a different shape successful which nan battlegrounds way much intimately to nan national.
Addressing nan concerns of men and women
On balance, voters opportunity women look much favoritism than men do today, and women are particularly apt to opportunity so. But men who deliberation men look astatine slightest immoderate favoritism (and half of them do) are voting for Trump. Women who deliberation women look favoritism are overwhelming for Harris.
There's besides a gender spread connected who thinks they're getting attraction from nan campaign.
Most men deliberation Trump is paying nan correct magnitude of attraction to nan concerns of men, but galore deliberation Harris is paying excessively little.
Women, by contrast, opportunity Harris is paying capable attraction to women's concerns, but don't deliberation Trump is.
A sizable 4 successful 10 women deliberation Trump's run is paying excessively overmuch attraction to men.
But nan percent who opportunity nan U.S. is "ready to elite a Black female arsenic president" has risen, and this mostly includes group who are voting for Harris and galore who are not.
Approaches to governance
There's plentifulness of talk successful this run astir how the candidates mightiness lead arsenic president, not conscionable astir policies. And connected that we spot differences by age, and immoderate by gender too, but plentifulness by party.
Asked really champion to lick nan U.S.' problems, voters chiefly telephone for practice betwixt nan parties. Some — often nan much ideological partisans — deliberation 1 statement moving authorities would beryllium best.
Trump voters are doubly arsenic apt arsenic Harris voters to telephone for "one beardown leader to do what they deliberation best."
Younger voters — and successful peculiar younger men — are comparably much apt to opportunity nan state needs that.
Trump continues to triumph nan votes of group who deliberation nan U.S. governmental strategy needs to beryllium wholly rebuilt.
The system — and really it still underpins Trump
Some perchance bully news for Harris is that group opportunity they're judging her much connected her ain economical plans than connected nan economical grounds of nan Biden administration.
She's trim a spot into his separator connected who'd make group financially amended off.
But that separator remains nonetheless, and she has stalled successful cutting into Trump's separator pinch voters who opportunity nan system is simply a awesome facet for them.
A large mostly proceed to opportunity they callback nan Trump system arsenic good, truthful Harris has not gotten voters to reconsider aliases rethink that memory.
People are divided complete whether Trump's policies helped them financially during nan pandemic specifically, and that cuts to vote.
A fewer notes connected what's changed since Harris past period had much of an edge:
Perhaps 1 of nan biggest indicators of why this title remains truthful close: Harris does good erstwhile group complaint abortion arsenic a apical issue, particularly among women who deliberation so. And it is simply a awesome rumor for half, but she has not succeeded complete nan people of nan run successful getting galore much voters to complaint it arsenic a apical issue. It's hovered successful nan debased 50s scope for those who telephone it a awesome factor.
This CBS News/YouGov study was conducted pinch a typical sample of 2,161 registered voters nationwide interviewed betwixt October 23-25, 2024. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and acquisition based connected nan U.S. Census American Community Survey and nan U.S. Census Current Population Survey, arsenic good arsenic past vote. Respondents were selected to beryllium typical of registered voters nationwide. The separator of correction for registered voters is ±2.6 points. Battlegrounds are AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, and WI.
- In:
- Kamala Harris
- Donald Trump
Anthony Salvanto
Anthony Salvanto, Ph.D., is CBS News' executive head of elections and surveys. He oversees nan CBS News Poll and each surveys crossed topics and heads nan CBS News Decision Desk that estimates outcomes connected predetermination nights