Harris-Trump showdown: New national poll shows who has the edge 2 weeks from election day

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A caller nationalist canvass is nan latest to bespeak erstwhile President Trump pinch an separator complete Vice President Harris successful nan title to win President Biden successful nan White House.

Trump grabs 47% support among apt voters nationwide, pinch Harris astatine 45%, according to a Wall Street Journal study released connected Wednesday evening - connected a ballot that besides includes third-party and independent candidates.

That's a move from nan Journal's erstwhile nationalist study - conducted successful precocious August - which indicated Harris pinch a 2 constituent edge.

The erstwhile president's advantage is wrong nan caller survey's margin-of-error, which intends that either Trump aliases nan vice president could perchance beryllium starring nan race. 

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Trump astatine NC rally

Republican statesmanlike nominee erstwhile President Donald Trump waves astatine a run rally astatine Greensboro Coliseum connected Tuesday, Oct. 22, successful Greensboro, North Carolina.  (AP/Alex Brandon)

The Wall Street Journal canvass - of 1,500 registered voters questioned Oct. 19-22 - follows a Fox News nationalist study conducted Oct. 11-14 and released past week that indicated nan Republican statesmanlike nominee pinch a two-point separator complete nan Democratic Party standard-bearer.

Many different nationalist surveys successful nan section nan past 2 weeks, including polls from CBS News, Marist, and USA Today/Suffolk University, person indicated Harris pinch a flimsy advantage complete Trump. But nan polls are mostly wrong nan separator of error.

Harris replaced a faltering President Biden atop nan Democrats' 2024 summons connected July 21, and instantly knowledgeable a surge successful fundraising and a emergence successful her canvass numbers.

Harris enjoyed nan separator complete Trump successful astir nationalist polling amid nan Democratic National Convention successful precocious August and nan first and only statement betwixt nan vice president and nan erstwhile president, successful early September.

WHAT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POLLS INDICATE IN THE HARRIS-TRUMP SHOWDOWN

But galore nationalist surveys conducted successful precocious September and October person pointed to Trump making gains astatine nan disbursal of Harris.

The latest Fox News canvass results [Trump pinch 50% support and Harris astatine 48%] were a reversal from past month, erstwhile nan vice president had nan edge.

Trump and Harris successful Pennsylvania divided image

Carville based on Harris will triumph for 3 reasons: she's sewage much money than Trump, he's a loser, and it's conscionable a "feeling" he has. (Getty Images)

"Overall, nan activity toward Trump is subtle but perchance consequential, particularly if he is making gains among college-educated voters," said seasoned Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts Fox News surveys pinch Republican Daron Shaw. "However, nan title has been good wrong nan separator of correction for 3 months and nan result will apt hinge connected which broadside is much effective astatine getting their voters to nan polls arsenic opposed to persuasion." 

While nationalist polls are helpful, nan title for nan White House is not based connected nan nationalist celebrated vote, and alternatively is simply a conflict for nan states and their electoral votes.

And nan latest surveys successful nan 7 important battleground states whose razor-thin margins decided President Biden's 2020 triumph complete Trump and will apt find whether Harris aliases Trump wins nan 2024 predetermination are mostly wrong nan margin-of-error.

CAMPAIGN BATTLE BETWEEN THE BILLIONAIRES: MARK CUBAN AND ELON MUSK HIT THE TRAIL FOR HARRIS AND TRUMP

While polls constituent to a title wrong nan margins, successful nan dash for run rate – different cardinal metric successful statesmanlike authorities – Harris is nan clear front-runner.

Democratic statesmanlike nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a run rally astatine nan University of Wisconsin La Crosse, successful La Crosse, Wis., Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

Democratic statesmanlike nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a run rally astatine nan University of Wisconsin La Crosse, successful La Crosse, Wis., Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

The vice president entered nan last afloat period of nan run pinch a monolithic financial advantage complete nan erstwhile president, according to nan latest national fundraising filings.

The Harris run hauled successful $221.8 cardinal successful September, according to nan filings, much than triple nan $63 cardinal brought successful by nan Trump run past month.

Harris has vastly outraised and outspent Trump nan past fewer months, and that inclination continued successful September. The largest disbursal by nan Harris run was for paid media – mostly to tally ads.

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But nan vice president still enjoyed a ample cash-on-hand advantage complete Trump entering October.  

The Harris run reported $187 cardinal successful its coffers astatine nan extremity of September, compared to $119 cardinal for nan Trump campaign.

The fundraising totals reported by nan 2 awesome statement campaigns don't see further money raked successful by nan 2 nationalist statement committees, different affiliated organizations – some campaigns usage a slew of affiliated fundraising committees to haul successful rate – aliases aligned super-PACs supporting Harris and Trump.

Get nan latest updates from nan 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.

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