Kellyanne Conway: Donald Trump is rising from the ashes. Here's why Trump 2016 is Trump 2024

Here's nan woody for this week, nan very past and final push to Election Day. Ladies and gentlemen, it does consciousness for illustration 2016 each complete again, and for galore different reasons. We're talking astir Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, nan 3 states that Donald Trump won by a full of 77,000 votes to go nan 45th President of nan United States. 

Former President Trump's way to triumph successful nan 2016 statesmanlike election. ((Screenshot/Fox Nation/Here's nan Deal))

He's up against a female force who excited and enthused truthful galore women crossed nan country, and different folks. A woman, again, who was expected to bring along brand-new constituencies into nan Democratic Party and grow nan electoral map, move reddish states blue, summation their return among halfway constituencies that had been Republican for a very agelong time. And Donald Trump again, is being outspent. He's facing a hostile, downright vulnerable mainstream media successful nan type of connection they usage to picture him and his supporters. 

It each sounds familiar, but what other sounds acquainted is nan scent of triumph for Donald J. Trump. I deliberation Trump 2016 is Trump 2024. The hunger, nan swagger, nan underdog, underestimated Donald Trump, who nary 1 thinks could make it again. And location he is, rising from nan ashes. This time, literally. He was told successful 2015 and 2016, you're not electable, you can't win. He was told that facing 17 qualified men and women for nan Republican superior nomination. And he's been told it each azygous day, each azygous infinitesimal since he near agency successful January of 2021. 

Outgoing US President Donald Trump waves arsenic he boards Marine One astatine nan White House successful Washington, DC, connected January 20, 2021. ( MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

He faced superior opponents successful 2023 and 2024. They had debates, two, hosted by FOX Business and Fox News Channel. They had an opportunity to link pinch nan voters successful Iowa, successful New Hampshire and South Carolina successful these early and plaything states. Many of them had outsized money, outsized attention, outsized chances fixed to them conscionable to extremity Donald Trump from ever seeing 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue again. 

And yet, present he is arsenic nan nominee, surging successful nan polls with, yes, much money than he had nan first fewer times, but truthful overmuch much momentum and a existent opportunity to proceed and complete nan governmental realignment of halfway constituencies that person traditionally and typically voted Democratic. What a move of events. 

HARRIS-TRUMP SHOWDOWN: MARGIN-OF-ERROR PRESIDENTIAL RACE WITH ONE WEEK UNTIL ELECTION DAY

Donald Trump is poised to summation support among African Americans, Hispanic Americans, young Americans, Jewish Americans and national households. He doesn't request to triumph anyplace adjacent 50%, not moreover 40%, obscurity adjacent that successful immoderate of those groups to beryllium nan adjacent President of nan United States. Ladies and gentlemen, authorities is not astir biology. It's not moreover astir chemistry. It's astir mathematics and science. You request much electoral votes than nan different person. And successful nan down-ballot races for House and Senate, you request 1 much ballot than nan different person. 

Former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris' support among demographics. ((Screenshot/Fox Nation/Here's nan Deal))

Of course, Kamala Harris tin still win, but nan title has been slipping distant from her for each of October, I tin reason from her 1 debate on September 10th. It was a beautiful bully 90 minutes for her, but it really has been a long-term risk and astir apt a liability for her. Why? Because what we saw connected nan shape that nighttime successful that statement we've ne'er seen since. 

There has ne'er been different 90 minutes of Kamala Harris holding distant connected policy, looking somewhat optimistic, prevaricating, of course, and equivocating, but astatine nan aforesaid clip performing successful a measurement that made group successful nan Democratic Party say, see, this is why we got free of Joe Biden and replaced him pinch Kamala Harris. That whitethorn person been a mistake.

FOX NEWS POLL: TRUMP STILL NARROWLY AHEAD OF HARRIS IN NORTH CAROLINA

Kamala Harris is underperforming Joe Biden's ballot totals successful galore different categories and successful a number of these plaything states. 

Goodness. Remember? What did they opportunity astatine nan time? "Joe Biden must go" aft that disastrous statement against Donald Trump. Biden mislaid that debate, but Trump won that debate, don't forget. And after nan June 27 debate, what did nan Democratic donors and candidates and officeholders and pundits and nan mainstream media, different Democrats, what did they each say? We must get free of Joe Biden because he's going to move complete nan White House to Donald Trump, and he's going to return nan House and nan Senate pinch him. Fascinating, wasn't it? 

President Biden was wide criticized for his "garbage" remark astir erstwhile President Trump's supporters. (Getty Images)

Sounded reasonable astatine nan clip to unreasonable people. But nan other could happen. There could beryllium a reddish sweep. As I told you past week, Donald Trump is connected way for a constrictive landslide. Eight 1000 here, 12,000 other there, 22,000 complete there. And he tin tally nan tables connected Election Day. He tin easy triumph 5 of those swing states, up to 6 aliases 7. And location are reasons for that which we're going to excavation into successful this awesome section pinch Martha MacCallum. But also I'm going to proceed to show you complete nan adjacent mates of minutes it feels for illustration 2016 each complete again for different reason. You. The forgotten man. The forgotten woman. The forgotten child. 

REPORTER'S NOTEBOOK: THE HARD STUFF IS YET TO COME

People now consciousness invisible to a strategy that is making them salary excessively overmuch money for excessively small successful return, that makes a white-knuckle to salary nan monthly bills each week. We're not trying to spend luxuries. We're trying to spend mundane consumables. We want a unafraid separator wherever group aren't coming present illegally. Tens, millions and millions, up to 10 cardinal of them. We don't want caller wars abroad. All nan predictions astir Donald Trump becoming nan 45th president. They're trying each complete again. He's a fascist. He's a Nazi. He loves Hitler. He is Hitler. They're insulting him because they're insulting you who support him. Don't fto that happen. 

Republican statesmanlike nominee, erstwhile U.S. President Donald Trump waves goodbye aft a run rally astatine Madison Square Garden connected October 27, 2024 successful New York City.  (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

You cognize who you are. No governmental person, nary candidate, nary statement ever made a plan for you. God did person religion successful that plan. Get to nan polls if you haven't already. Maybe you're 1 of nan tens of millions of Americans who person already voted. Maybe you're personification who's still going to vote, but I'm encouraging you to ballot because nan astir equalizing factor successful our democracy. One person, 1 vote. Your ballot is your voice. Your ballot is your choice. We're going to person World War III. The banal market's going to crash. All these predictions astir Trump, inflation, caller wars everywhere. None of it was true. 

'TREATED YOU LIKE GARBAGE': TRUMP USES BIDEN CRITICISM AS RALLYING CRY IN BATTLEGROUND NORTH CAROLINA

They're making those predictions again. And erstwhile again, they're trying to denigrate and castigate you, his voters. He's right. He's conscionable successful nan way. They're not conscionable going aft him. They're going aft you. Kamala Harris is simply a motion of nan times. Donald Trump is simply a metaphor for America. When you're knocked down, erstwhile personification wishes to do you harm and pulls nan trigger virtually aliases figuratively, do you autumn down and stay there or do you get backmost up? America, do you pump your fists successful nan aerial and say, "Fight, fight, fight"? That's nan mobility we each person successful our mind. 

Let's talk astir nan polls and nan RealClearPolitics average. 

Trump has a 0.1% lead successful nan celebrated vote. But astatine this point, that small, small, minuscule lead is simply a immense one. Why? Biden was astatine 7.4% and Hillary Clinton was astatine 4.6%. It is astonishing that nan celebrated ballot is moreover successful play. It has been consistently retired of scope of Republicans since 2004. It is mostly successful play because of Trump. He's improving his margins successful Republican-leaning states for illustration Texas and Florida. Compared to nan erstwhile 2 elections erstwhile he was nan nominee, and he besides appears to beryllium cutting his deficits successful bluish states for illustration California, New York and moreover places for illustration New Hampshire, Minnesota, New Mexico and Virginia. The Electoral College, we cognize that it's not nan celebrated vote. It's nan Electoral College – really you do aliases don't go nan president.

TRUMP CAMP TAKES VICTORY LAP FOLLOWING ELECTION CASE LEGAL WIN IN BATTLEGROUND STATE

Right now, nan RealClearPolitics mean shows everything turning up Trump literally, albeit marginally. The 2 champion states for Trump correct now successful nan RCP mean is Arizona, which Fox News Power Rankings conscionable moved to thin Republican, and Georgia, wherever Trump leads Harris by 2% connected average. In nan early ballot successful Arizona, Republicans person a 100,000 vote advantage complete nan Democrats. That eliminates nan Democrats early ballot advantage that they've been capable to declare successful nan past 2 predetermination cycles. 

In Nevada, a akin inclination is unfolding. Forty 1000 much Republicans person voted earlier than Democrats. That is thing that Nevada has ne'er seen successful nan modern era. And successful North Carolina, wherever Republicans person reduced nan Democratic advantage successful caller registrations, Republicans are besides outvoting Democrats. In 2020, Democrats outvoted Republicans by 300,000 votes astatine this constituent successful nan race. And now Republicans are outvoting Democrats. Boy, Donald Trump telling people, make a plan to vote. Vote connected Election Day, if you like, but ballot early if you consciousness comfortable. Vote early done nan mail. Vote early done nan driblet box. Vote early astatine nan polls. That's paying off. 

FOX NEWS POLL: MORE HARRIS THAN TRUMP SUPPORTERS THINK VOTES WILL BE COUNTED ACCURATELY & WILL ACCEPT OUTCOME

The Lion Board and nan remainder of nan kingdom are pursuing pinch nan Trump squad emotion assured successful Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina. They still would request to prime disconnected 1 of those 3 states, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, to get it complete to 70 Electoral College. So correct now, that bluish wall, there's 3 states – Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania – that Trump won in 2016 and Biden reclaimed successful 2020 that are seeing nan tightest polling successful nan cycle. They're very achromatic states. You would person thought Kamala Harris would make a play, do overmuch amended successful nan racially divers states for illustration Georgia, Arizona, Nevada. She is not. She stuck without "Scranton Joe" going to Scranton. 

President Joe Biden delivers a reside astatine Dundalk Marine Terminal successful Baltimore. (Amy Davis/Baltimore Sun/Tribune News Service via Getty Images) (Anna Rose Layden/Getty Images)

She stuck without nan Senate candidates successful Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan wanting to run overmuch pinch her there bear hugging Donald Trump, saying, I don't ain nan electrical vehicle. The cardinal group to judge request that you buy. I've been voting pinch Trump connected trade. I'm bipartisan. I really am. So she's location by herself successful her billions to make nan case. Trump leads each of those states, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, by half a percent point. It's worthy noting that astatine this constituent successful 2016, Hillary Clinton led each 3 states – Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan – by much than 5% and went connected to suffer each three. Now, arsenic I said, and we know, Trump still needs to prime disconnected astatine slightest 1 of those alleged bluish wall seats to win. 

FOX NEWS POLL: HARRIS ERASES TRUMP’S LEAD ON THE ECONOMY IN MICHIGAN

Right now, he's trying to compression Harris from nan near and nan right, and it's working. He's improving and maintaining his margins successful nan agrarian counties, and he's making gains successful municipality counties for illustration Philadelphia, Detroit and Milwaukee, mostly because of his gains among number voters especially, but not exclusively antheral voters. Donald Trump doesn't request to get anyplace adjacent 50, 40, 30% successful those municipality areas to really triumph nan state.

Meanwhile, Kamala Harris is bleeding support from accepted halfway Democratic constituencies for illustration Blacks, Hispanics, national households, Jewish Americans and moreover Catholic voters. In Michigan, that includes Arab American voters, 100,000 of whom refused to ballot for her and Biden successful nan primaries. Therefore, Harris is banking connected 1 large way to 270. She needs to overperform pinch White assemblage graduates successful suburban counties. There is immoderate grounds that she is capable to do that and clasp connected to these bluish wall states. CNN, for example, precocious analyzed nan polling averages and shows Harris doubling Joe Biden's separator successful 2020 among achromatic assemblage grads. That's a small scary. And that will beryllium nan telltale motion connected predetermination night. 

MAJORITY OF VETERANS POLLED SUPPORT RE-ELECTION OF DONALD TRUMP: 'WE WANT TRUMP BACK'

How is nan title looking successful suburban counties, large counties surrounding large municipality counties for illustration Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee? Let's take a look at nan House and Senate, because, aft all, President Trump will request a reddish sweep. To beryllium capable to get things done and to debar impeachment successful nan first mates of days by 30 Democratic led House and Senate, if each azygous lean, apt and safe spot went each party's way, nan Republicans would commencement astatine 207 and nan Democrats would commencement astatine 203, according to Cook Political Report.

That leaves power of nan House to beryllium decided by 25 toss-up seats, 14 presently held by q Republican, 11 presently held by a Democrat. Of nan 14 seats Republicans are defending, only 4 districts were won by Trump successful 2020. California 41. Iowa one. Iowa three. Pennsylvania 10. Biden won 10 of these seats, including 7 of nan seats by complete 5%. California 13. California 22. California 27. California 45. New Nebraska two. New York four. Oregon five. Why do I opportunity this? Remember wherever Trump's been recently? Coachella, California. Long Island. New York. Madison Square Garden. 

Why is he going to non-swing states, Kellyanne? Because he's smart and he knows that nan House mostly that nan Republicans sewage successful 2022 ran done California successful New York, of nan 10 seats Democrats are defending successful nan House, 4 were won by Trump.

TRUMP, HARRIS MAKE FINAL PITCHES TO VOTERS IN HIGH-STAKES BATTLEGROUND STATE IN FINAL DAYS OF CYCLE

Biden won 7 of them and only 3 wherever he had comfortable wins. As goes nan title nationally for president whitethorn spell nan title for Republicans. Ladies and gentlemen, we've had 3 consecutive predetermination cycles, 2018, 2020 and 2022, wherever we did not cognize who controlled nan House of Representatives until December. That could hap again. 

Or we tin person an early night. Quickly look astatine nan US Senate – champion electoral representation for nan GOP successful a decade and astir apt for nan adjacent decade. Excellent candidates having been recruited successful most, if not all, of these places. 

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West Virginia, unfastened seat, nan Manchin spot safe. Republican Jim Justice will beryllium nan adjacent United States legislator from West Virginia. Montana, presently rated arsenic apt Republican, wherever former Navy SEAL and successful financial executive Tim Sheehy is taking nan lawsuit to Jon Tester and beating him successful each nan respectable polls. Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan are currently rated arsenic toss-ups for United States Senate. 

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So we're emotion really bullish astir nan House and Senate arsenic well. Again, nary reddish wave, but a reddish expanse helps President Trump legislatively execute much of that agenda. 

This article is adapted from Kellyanne Conway's opening commentary from nan latest version of "Here's nan Deal pinch Kellyanne," streaming connected Fox Nation.

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