Key battleground state voter registration data shows influential shifts favoring GOP

The Democratic Party is losing its separator complete nan GOP successful nan captious plaything authorities of Pennsylvania, pinch Democrats changing their statement affiliation astatine much than doubly nan complaint of Republicans, according to authorities information released aft voter registration ended Monday evening.

A full of 9,088,583 registered voters were tallied crossed nan authorities erstwhile nan sign-up play ended astatine midnight connected Monday. Registered Democrats maintained a lead complete registered Republicans, at 3,971,607 registered Democrats to nan GOP’s 3,673,783. 

More than 1.4 cardinal voters are registered arsenic third-party aliases independent voters successful nan Keystone State. 

Though nan Democratic Party accounts for astir 44% of registered voters compared to nan GOP's 40%, it has seen its advantage complete Republicans dwindle this year. 

BIDEN'S OLD BACKYARD NOW A KEY PENNSYLVANIA BATTLEGROUND FILLED WITH 'PURPLE' VOTES

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump (Getty Images)

In 2020, location were 9,090,962 registered voters crossed nan parties successful Pennsylvania, only somewhat much than nan 9,088,583 voters registered this cycle. 

President Biden won nan authorities successful 2020 by 1.17 percent points​. That year, Democrats had a larger separator of registered voters compared to their Republican counterparts, astatine 4.2 cardinal to 3.5 million. The information show that Democrats had a registration advantage complete Republicans by 685,818 voters during an predetermination Biden won by 80,555 votes.

The GOP has whittled down that lead this twelvemonth to a 297,824 margin. When comparing registered voters this predetermination twelvemonth to 2020, Democrats look a nett nonaccomplishment of 257,281 voters, while Republicans person a nett summation of 428,537 registered voters. 

'BLUE WALL' DEMOCRAT ALIGNS WITH TRUMP IN NEW PITCH TO VOTERS BEFORE ELECTION

More than double nan number of antecedently registered Democrats changed their statement affiliation this rhythm compared to nan number of registered Republicans who near nan party: 54,668 registered Democrats changed their statement affiliation compared to 25,634 Republicans, Pennsylvania Department of State information shows.

The information is surgery down by county, pinch Philadelphia notably reporting 18,928 Democrats changed their statement affiliation compared to conscionable 3,401 Republicans doing nan same. Bucks County, which sits extracurricular of nan City of Brotherly Love, reported 2,089 Democrats changed their statement affiliation compared to 1,624 Republicans. In Allegheny County, location to nan state's second-largest metropolis of Pittsburgh, 6,564 Democrats changed their statement affiliation while 2,202 Republicans did nan same. 

A elector fills retired a mail-in ballot astatine nan Board of Elections agency successful nan Allegheny County Office Building connected Nov. 3, 2022, successful Pittsburgh. (Jeff Swensen/Getty Images)

The registered elector information comes aft reports surfaced that concerns were mounting wrong nan Democratic Party that nan Harris campaign is failing to efficaciously link pinch voters successful Pennsylvania. 

Poor run guidance and staffers lacking relationships pinch Democratic governmental leaders successful nan Keystone State are allegedly rocking nan campaign, Politico reported past week. The outlet reported that Democrats are worried that nan campaign’s authorities head lacks an knowing of Philadelphia, nan state’s largest city, while run staffers person allegedly not invited section Democratic politicians to events successful nan state, and person not efficaciously deployed surrogates. 

KAMALA HARRIS 'HAS BECOME TOXIC' FOR PENNSYLVANIA, TOP KEYSTONE STATE LAWMAKER SAYS

Politico reported that it said pinch 20 Democratic politicians, friends and statement leaders for nan story, who reported they are restless over Harris’ campaigning efforts. 

"Our run is moving nan largest and astir blase cognition successful Pennsylvania history," Harris’ nationalist run head Julie Chávez Rodriguez said successful remark to Fox News Digital erstwhile asked astir nan study past week. "While Trump’s squad still refuses to show reporters really fewer unit they person successful nan state, we person 50 coordinated offices and astir 400 staff connected nan ground."

"While nan Trump run closed its ‘minority outreach offices,’ we invested successful targeted advertizing to Black and Latino voters starting successful August of 2023 and person now spent much than immoderate erstwhile statesmanlike run connected outreach to these communities. The Vice President is besides campaigning aggressively successful Pennsylvania – spending 1 retired of 3 days successful nan authorities successful September."

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks astatine a run arena astatine Divine Faith Ministries International connected Oct. 20, 2024, successful Jonesboro, Georgia. (Megan Varner/Getty Images)

Vulnerable incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey made nationalist headlines past week erstwhile he distanced himself from Democratic Party leaders and launched a run advertisement detailing really he "bucked Biden" and "sided" pinch erstwhile President Trump. 

The advertisement features a joined mates – Republican Marygrace and her Democrat hubby Joe – praising Casey arsenic an "independent," citing his support for Trump's waste and acquisition policies and efforts to "protect fracking" from nan Biden administration.

INEFFECTIVE PLANNING, LACK OF CONNECTIONS HAS DEMS ON EDGE IN 'KEY' BATTLEGROUND: REPORT

"Our matrimony – axenic bliss! But connected politics, we conscionable don’t agree. Except for Bob Casey. He’s independent," Marygrace says, pinch her hubby chiming in, "That's right!"

"Casey’s starring nan effort to extremity firm greedflation and price-gouging," Marygrace continues. "Casey bucked Biden to protect fracking and he sided pinch Trump to extremity NAFTA and put tariffs connected China to extremity them from cheating. So successful this house, we agree, it’s Bob Casey who’s doing correct by Pennsylvania."

Democratic Sen. Bob Casey and Republican challenger Dave McCormick (Mark Makela/Getty Images)

MCCORMICK SEIZES ON PENNSYLVANIA SENATE RACE GAP, LAYING BORDER BLAME ON CASEY

Casey has served successful nan Senate since 2007, yet becoming a stalwart wrong nan Democratic Party, voting connected authorities Biden supported, for example, 98.5% of nan time, according to FiveThirtyEight data. He is now facing his toughest re-election effort yet, arsenic he squares up against Republican challenger Dave McCormick. 

The Fox News Power Rankings people nan statesmanlike title successful Pennsylvania arsenic a toss-up, pinch nan Senate title a thin Democrat designation. The Cook Political Report, this week, however, shifted nan Senate title from a leans Democrat title to a toss-up race, underscoring Casey’s difficult re-election battle. 

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

Pennsylvania is touted arsenic nan authorities that will apt find nan result of nan wide predetermination connected Nov. 5. A Fox News study of Pennsylvania voters published precocious past period recovered Harris narrowly up of Trump by 2 points (50-48%) among registered voters, while nan title is tied astatine 49% each among apt voters. 

Fox News Digital's Chris Pandolofo and Brooke Singman contributed to this report. 

Get nan latest updates from nan 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.