New York Republican in toss-up district gains momentum in key race to determine House control

An incumbent Republican congressman from New York now holds a astonishing lead complete his progressive opponent, according to a caller poll. 

The poll, which was conducted by PIX11, The Hill and Emerson College, recovered that Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., holds a 49%-44% lead complete erstwhile Democratic U.S. Rep. Mondaire Jones. The 2 are moving successful New York’s 17th congressional district, and nan canvass comes a week earlier nan Nov. 5 election.

The survey, which was published connected Tuesday, was conducted Oct. 24 done Oct. 26 and has a separator of correction of +/- 4.4 percent points. According to Emerson College, nan information was collected via compartment telephone surveys.

Lawler gained a four-point summation successful support, based connected an earlier canvass conducted by Emerson College. The different survey, conducted Oct. 1 to Oct. 3, recovered that Lawler had 45% of voters' support and put Jones astatine 44%.

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Rep. Mike Lawler's title against erstwhile Rep. Mondaire Jones is expected to beryllium 1 of nan closest successful nan country. (Getty Images)

The canvass besides recovered that 52% of voters person a favorable position of Lawler, compared to 44% of voters having a favorable position of Jones.

The territory still leans bluish successful statesmanlike predetermination polls, and nan study recovered that half of voters support President Kamala Harris and 47% support erstwhile President Donald Trump.

"The apical rumor for voters successful nan 17th territory is nan economy, astatine 30%, followed by migration (20%), lodging affordability (15%), crime (11%), and threats to populist (10%)," nan findings read.

"Half (50%) of voters successful nan 17th territory opportunity they are worse disconnected financially coming than a twelvemonth ago, while 32% opportunity they are doing astir nan same, and 18% are amended off."

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UNITED STATES - JUNE 4: Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., talks pinch reporters aft a gathering of nan House Republican Conference successful nan U.S. Capitol connected Tuesday, June 4, 2024.  (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Spencer Kimball, executive head of Emerson College Polling, said that nan caller findings item a important gender disagreement betwixt voters.

"There is simply a stark gender disagreement successful nan 17th district, pinch men breaking for Lawler by 27 points, and women breaking by 16 for Jones, while men are much divided successful nan 18th district: 47% support Esposito and 46% support Ryan," Kimball explained. "Women break for Ryan by 20 points."

Earlier this month, Lawler was accused of dressing successful blackface erstwhile photos of him dressed arsenic Michael Jackson successful October 2006 emerged. Lawler, a student astatine nan time, said that his costume was intended to beryllium complimentary and apologized for causing offense.

Former Rep. Mondaire Jones is now polling little than his opponent. (Getty Images)

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Fox News Digital reached retired to nan Lawler and Jones campaigns for comments.