Betting Life’s Matthew Freedman, Matt LaMarca, and Geoff Ulrich make their mid-season Super Bowl predictions, stock their imagination sleepers and much successful this week’s Roundtable!
For much free picks and betting tips crossed each sports, subordinate nan Betting Life Newsletter!
Who will triumph nan Super Bowl?
- Last week we asked astir nan worst squad successful nan NFL. Now we’re looking for nan best. Almost halfway done nan season, who are you betting connected to triumph nan Super Bowl?
Matthew Freedman: Lions (+1000, BetMGM) | Bills +1200 (DraftKings)
I person nan Lions priced astatine +515 and Bills astatine +836, truthful some connection worth astatine their existent odds. I person nan Lions power rated arsenic my No. 3 team (+6.25), conscionable down nan Ravens (+6.75) and Chiefs (+6.5). I judge nan Lions should beryllium priced acold person to nan Ravens (+700) and Chiefs (+475) than they are. As for nan Bills: Josh Allen is playing astatine an MVP level pinch a 9.1 AY/A and nary INTs. If nan Bills get this type of Allen successful nan playoffs, they tin triumph a championship.
LaMarca: I wish I had a amended basking take, but it’s nan Chiefs (+450). I person nary thought really this squad has yet to suffer a game. They’ve mislaid immoderate important accomplishment position players. Patrick Mahomes has much interceptions than touchdown passes. They’ve played games against nan Ravens, Bengals, and 49ers. And yet, somehow, they’re still unblemished. That should terrify nan remainder of nan league. This is simply a squad that massively elevated their crippled during nan postseason past year. Mahomes is still nan champion backmost successful football, and if you fto him bent around, he’ll bargain nan crippled late. I person nan Ravens arsenic nan champion squad successful football, but do I spot them to hit Mahomes successful Arrowhead successful nan playoffs? Absolutely not.
Ulrich: Lions (+1000; BetMGM)
I’ve resisted jumping connected nan Detroit bandwagon because I’ve ever felt they’re constricted somewhat by Jared Goff. Fast guardant to coming and Goff has sounded a cleanable game, is now fourth successful MVP odds, and playing nan champion shot of his life. Detroit has besides already beaten their closest rival (the Vikings) and has nan accelerated way connected nan No. 1 seed pinch nan 49ers successful a down season.
Losing Hutchinson stinks, but they’re still 9th successful EPA per play connected defense this season, and who knows what nan waste and acquisition deadline will bring. I’d reason that nan existent spread successful likelihood betwixt Detroit (+1000; BetMGM) and KC (+475; BetMGM) is excessively large making them a preferred target for betting.
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A Rest of Season Fantasy Football Sleeper
- We’re each imagination shot players here, why hide it? Who is nan subordinate you’re stashing connected your chair for late-season upside and sleeper-dom?
Matthew Freedman: Troy Franklin
I highlighted Franklin successful my Week 8 Freedman’s Favorites (WR Edition). With WR Josh Reynolds (finger, IR) unavailable, Franklin has served arsenic nan team’s No. 2 perimeter receiver for nan past 2 weeks, and pinch his 68% way complaint he has a team-high 9 targets successful that span. As a rookie, he has nan upside to build connected his existent role, and he besides has an established relationship pinch Bo Nix from their 2 years together successful assemblage astatine Oregon, wherever Franklin had 1,383 yards and 14 TDs receiving successful 13 games successful his last season. With fewer established walk catchers connected nan team, Franklin could look arsenic a reliable contributor by nan extremity of nan season.
Matt LaMarca: Trey Benson. The Cardinals are sitting astatine 3-4, truthful they’re still technically live for a playoff spot. However, location person already been rumors circulating astir a fewer players being disposable connected nan block. That includes starting moving backmost James Conner. If Conner does onshore location other — possibly pinch nan Cowboys? — it opens nan doorway for Benson to return complete nan starting job. He was an early third-round prime successful nan 2024 NFL Draft pinch home-run-hitting speed; he blazed a 4.39 40-yard dash astatine nan combine. He’s had a mini domiciled truthful acold this season, but he has nan imaginable to beryllium a league-winner if Conner is shipped retired nan door.
Geoff Ulrich: AT Perry, WR, Denver
The Broncos picked up Perry disconnected waivers a mates of weeks agone aft he was released by nan Saints. Perry scored 26 TDs successful his last 2 years of college, is 6’4, and ran a 4.47 astatine nan combine. In his first twelvemonth pinch nan Saints, he averaged 20.5 yards per drawback and scored 4 times connected conscionable 12 catches past year.
He’s yet to beryllium activated but pinch Denver’s barren extent floor plan astatine WR, he’d instantly go their best, astir explosive receiver erstwhile he is. Perry’s for deeper leagues only, but is nan benignant of “from retired of nowhere” subordinate who could extremity up making a immense quality successful imagination playoffs.
For much free picks and betting tips crossed each sports, subordinate nan Betting Life Newsletter!
Denver Broncos Best Bets
- The Denver Broncos are a trendy squad for nan full “if nan play ended today, they’d beryllium successful nan playoffs” thing. What’s your champion Broncos stake correct now — future, player, anything
Freedman: Broncos to Win AFC West (+4000, Caesars)
I haven’t stake this yet … but I’m reasoning astir it. Based connected their record, powerfulness standing and remaining schedule, I person this priced astatine +3372, truthful there’s theoretical worth successful this position. That doesn’t mean I want to stake it — because I dislike betting against nan Chiefs, and that’s fundamentally what this is — but if Patrick Mahomes were to suffer a important wounded past nan Broncos would person nan champion changeable to capitalize successful nan AFC West. They person a Super Bowl-winning coach successful Sean Payton, an improving QB successful rookie Bo Nix, and an elite defense that ranks No. 2 successful EPA (-0.161, per RBs Don’t Matter). It’s possible. Theoretically. If I’m gonna stake Broncos, I mightiness arsenic good stake ’em big.
LaMarca: Broncos to miss nan playoffs (-200). Congratulations to nan Broncos for making nan seven-week playoff mark. Unfortunately for them, nan play lasts 18 weeks. They were listed astatine -750 to miss nan playoffs earlier nan commencement of nan year, truthful getting them astatine -200 now feels beautiful strong. They person perfectly zero chance of catching nan Chiefs for nan division, truthful nan best-case script for Denver is 1 of nan 3 chaotic paper spots. However, they’re still going to person to contend pinch nan 2 AFC North runner-ups (currently nan Steelers and Bengals), nan AFC South runner-up (likely nan Colts), and nan Chargers successful their ain section (who already person a head-to-head triumph against them). Maybe nan Jets aliases Dolphins tin get backmost into contention, too. Ultimately, location are conscionable excessively galore teams that are amended than Denver, moreover if Denver is amended than primitively anticipated.
Ulrich: Broncos to make nan playoffs (+198; FanDuel).
Denver’s defense was not expected to beryllium a top-three unit, but present we are 7 weeks successful and they’re 2nd successful EPA per play and lead nan convention successful yards per play allowed (4.4). Sean Payton is besides starting to manus nan reigns to immoderate of his younger playmakers, truthful nan imaginable for a second-half bump connected discourtesy is there.
The schedule gets a small rocky coming up but they still person games against nan Browns and Raiders, truthful if they tin divided nan games pinch KC (they hit them past twelvemonth 24-9 successful Denver), they’ll person a decent chance astatine scraping into a wildcard spot.
You tin find much of our NFL free bets successful our stake locator arsenic well. And upset picks tin beryllium recovered successful our NFL betting model for Week 8.
Rapid Fire Betting Questions – 5 connection answers
Answer nan pursuing questions successful precisely 5 words:
- What do you foretell for nan Seahawks remainder of season?
Freedman: 8.9 wins, changeable astatine playoffs.
LaMarca: Good capable to make playoffs
Ulrich: Lose section to 49ers/Rams.
- Checking successful connected Coach of nan Year. Who do you like?
Freedman: Dan Quinn. Sportswriters emotion him.
LaMarca: 5-1 pinch Darnold? It’s KOC
Ulrich: Commanders respectable? It’s Dan Quinn.
- Jason vs. Freddy vs. Count Chocula. Who wins?
Freedman: I’ve ne'er seen nan movies …
LaMarca: Big Freddy Krueger clears all.
Ulrich: Count Chocula. Diabetes is forever.
- Who will triumph nan NFC North?
Freedman: Lions, but Vikings are close.
LaMarca: Lions spell back-to-back
Ulrich: Detroit. Packers make it interesting.
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