Ret. Army Capt. Sam Brown appears to beryllium closing nan polling spread pinch incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen successful battleground Nevada with little than 2 weeks until Election Day.
In a caller survey, Rosen defeated Brown 49% to 44% among each voters, according to a caller AARP poll.
Among nan cardinal demographic of voters 50 years aliases older, Brown hit nan Democrat 49% to 46%.
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The separator betwixt Sam Brown and Jacky Rosen appears to beryllium shrinking. (Reuters)
The caller poll, which indicates a adjacent race, comes aft immoderate expressed concerns complete nan Republican's position down Rosen successful caller surveys. While galore Republican candidates successful important states had already improved their stature against incumbent Democrats, Brown was still losing to Rosen by important margins.
In a precocious August canvass from CNN, Rosen was starring Brown by a afloat 10 points, 50% to 40%. In a Fox News Poll during nan aforesaid month, nan Democrat hit her force by moreover more, 55% to his 41%.
Earlier successful nan month, a New York Times and Siena College Poll had Rosen besting Brown 49% to 40%.
In the aforesaid AARP survey that Brown has appeared to make gains in, erstwhile President Trump topped Vice President Kamala Harris successful nan plaything state, 49%-47%, successful a head-to-head contest. With different candidates, Trump still leads Harris 47% to 46%.
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U.S. Sen. Jacky Rosen and Jimmy Kimmel airs for a group photograph arsenic they convey unpaid workers astatine a Democratic coordinated run canvass motorboat Oct. 21, 2024, successful Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
"The immense gaps betwixt nan Senate and statesmanlike races successful these states were ne'er realistic," said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball astatine nan University of Virginia Center for Politics. "At nan aforesaid time, Democratic Senate candidates person mostly had amended margins than Harris successful almost each competitory state."
According to Kondik, location is an "upside possibility" for Republicans successful nan script that Trump performs peculiarly well.
"He could transportation respective GOP Senate candidates complete nan decorativeness line," he said.
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Nevada Republican Senate campaigner Sam Brown attends a Hispanic roundtable pinch erstwhile President Trump, nan Republican statesmanlike nominee, astatine Beauty Society Oct. 12, 2024, successful North Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller)
Nevada Republican strategist Jeremy Hughes said, "Sam Brown has nan momentum astatine nan extremity of this title and is benefiting from a beardown early ballot capacity by Republicans."
Republicans person appeared to move retired successful larger numbers than Democrats successful Nevada's early voting frankincense far, which is simply a departure from past elections, according to 1 seasoned governmental journalist successful nan state.
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While noting that Republicans person an advantage successful early voting "at a clip erstwhile nan Ds usually person one," Jon Ralston, nan CEO and editor of The Nevada Independent, wrote. "If that gets larger, large problem for Dems."
Ralston further told Fox News Digital, "It is simply a surprising, unprecedented turnout shape successful a statesmanlike year."
"Democrats person usually utilized early voting to slope votes, and nan predetermination is each but complete by Election Day. Not this year. Mail ballots sent to everyone changes everything, and it besides makes predictions very difficult."
A Latinos for Trump arena Oct. 3, 2024, successful Las Vegas. (Hannah Ray Lambert/Fox News Digital)
"Nevadans are surging to nan polls because they cognize we tin do better. There is unthinkable power connected nan ground, and moving Nevada families are rallying down Sam Brown’s scheme to little prices, unafraid nan separator and make life affordable again. Nevadans person made it clear they are fresh for a change, and nan momentum is connected our side," Brown run spokesperson Raegan Lehman said successful a statement.
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A spokesperson for Rosen's run told Fox News Digital, "Nevada Senate races are ever adjacent and competitive, and our run is taking thing for granted.
"We're assured that voters will yet re-elect Jacky Rosen, a bipartisan and independent problem solver who delivers for moving families, and cull MAGA extremist Sam Brown, who wants to return distant abortion rights, repeal nan Affordable Care Act and gut Social Security and Medicare."
Her run additionally pointed to a precocious June poll, besides by nan AARP, that showed Rosen and Brown likewise 5 points isolated astatine 47% to 42%. Brown led Rosen pinch voters 50 and complete by 49% to 44% astatine nan time.
That canvass interviewed 1,368 apt voters successful Nevada betwixt June 12 and 18. It besides had a separator of correction of positive aliases minus 4 percent points for nan sample of voters wide and positive aliases minus 3.5 percent points for nan complete 50-year-old sample.
The caller AARP canvass that showed nan spread closing interviewed 1,368 apt voters from Oct. 8 to 15. It has a separator of correction of positive aliases minus 4 percent points for nan sample of voters wide and plus aliases minus 3.5 percent points for nan complete 50-year-old sample.
Get nan latest updates from nan 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.
Julia Johnson is simply a authorities writer for Fox News Digital and Fox Business, starring sum of nan U.S. Senate. She was antecedently a authorities newsman astatine nan Washington Examiner.
Follow Julia's reporting connected X astatine @JuliaaJohnson_ and nonstop tips to Julia.Johnson@fox.com.