'Trump card': Internal House GOP memo reveals confidence amid dead-heat presidential race

FIRST ON FOX: The House Republicans’ run limb is assured that elector enthusiasm for former President Donald Trump will push them to triumph successful tight races crossed nan state connected Election Day.

A National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) memo being sent to candidates and campaigns Monday morning, obtained by Fox News Digital, said nan House GOP would emergence aliases autumn pinch Trump.

"The NRCC holds a Trump paper arsenic we participate nan location stretch: a historical biology advantage for nan GOP pinch Donald Trump astatine nan apical of nan ticket," it said. 

"The House has not flipped successful nan other guidance of nan results of a statesmanlike predetermination since nan 1800s. In nan erstwhile 75 years, nan House mostly has not changed hands during a statesmanlike predetermination cycle. It’s why little than 2 weeks from Election Day we judge House Republicans tin turn our majority."

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Republican statesmanlike nominee erstwhile President Donald Trump could beryllium cardinal to nan House GOP's electoral fate, a caller memo suggests. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

It besides argues that Trump’s momentum successful districts that President Biden won successful 2020 is greater than it was successful nan past election, citing soul data.

"An October NRCC polling mean shows that among nan 16 Biden districts that House Republicans presently hold, Kamala only leads by little than a constituent connected nan ballot," nan NRCC memo said.

"This includes districts successful bluish states wherever Trump is presently either statistically tied aliases holds a lead wherever Biden won by double digits successful 2020. In contrast, successful 2020, Joe Biden won these 16 districts by much than 6.3% connected average."

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A Fox News poll from mid-October recovered Trump starring Harris nationally 50% to 48%.

Fox News Digital reached retired to House Democrats’ run mechanism, nan Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), for comment.

Lawmakers moving successful tight races, mostly known arsenic "front-line" candidates, traditionally must over-perform astatine nan apical of their summons successful statesmanlike predetermination years to win.

House Speaker Mike Johnson and different Republican leaders person been crisscrossing nan state campaigning. (Getty Images)

Both Democrats and Republicans person poured tremendous clip and resources into specified races successful New York and California, wherever a suburban backlash to cities’ progressive crime policies drove nan House GOP into power successful 2022.

There are 16 seats among that number wherever voters chose Biden complete Trump successful 2020; however, and nan roadworthy to nan House mostly apt lies done them again.

Republicans’ optimism comes contempt their fundraising lagging down Democrats’ level since Vice President Kamala Harris became nan party’s statesmanlike nominee successful July.

"Despite Democrats’ fundraising advantage, Donald Trump’s fame is pushing outgunned GOP challenger campaigns complete nan decorativeness line," nan memo said. 

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Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, person been outpacing nan GOP successful fundraising. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

"Any Democrat-held spot won by Joe Biden by 5 points aliases little successful 2020 is successful threat of flipping to nan GOP owed to Trump’s surge – and successful immoderate areas of nan country, that number is moreover higher."

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Democrats moving successful 25 of nan 26 races dubbed by nan nonpartisan Cook Political Report arsenic "toss-ups" person outraised their Republican opponents successful nan astir caller three-month span, according to an study by The Hill.

Meanwhile, The DCCC raised $22.3 cardinal successful August, compared to $9.7 cardinal by nan NRCC. House Democrats ended that play pinch much rate than nan GOP arsenic good – $87 cardinal compared to $70.7 million.

Get nan latest updates from nan 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.