Trump is taking his message to the heart of some of the bluest cities in the US. Here's why.

• Trump has waded into heavy bluish territory to boost his candidacy among Black and Latino voters.
• Throughout his campaign, he's sought to pull number voters by focusing connected nan economy.
• Trump has made gains among young number men, but it is unclear really overmuch it'll effect nan race.

Throughout nan 2024 statesmanlike campaign, erstwhile President Donald Trump has spent clip firming up GOP guidelines voters successful agrarian and exurban areas, wherever his support remains nan strongest.

He has besides spent a important magnitude of clip holding rallies successful staunchly Democratic cities for illustration Atlanta, Detroit, and Philadelphia.

And connected Sunday, he's group to header a rally astatine Madison Square Garden, bringing his blimpish run to Manhattan, wherever Democrats predominate nan GOP successful races up and down nan ballot.

Trump sees worth successful this strategy arsenic he's polled much strongly pinch number voters complete nan past twelvemonth compared to 2020. And pinch Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris deadlocked successful nan statesmanlike race, each ballot will matter.

The economical argument

According to polling, astir voters are concerned astir nan authorities of nan economy, which is Trump's strongest issue. He has sought to usage this rumor to trim into Harris' support among nan very groups she'll request to triumph nan presidency.

This includes Black voters, who for decades person overwhelmingly backed Democratic politicians, and Latino voters, who person go little Democratic arsenic a full successful caller years. Among some groups, there's been notable migration among young antheral voters toward Trump.

A caller GenForward survey showed that 26% of young Black men backed Trump, compared to 58% who supported Harris. Among young Latino men, 44% of respondents backed Trump, and 37% supported Harris. (Overall, Black men successful 2020 voted for Biden 79% to 19%, and Latino men that twelvemonth backed Biden 59% to 36%, exit polls found.)

Trump has agelong tied issues for illustration migration to nan economy, and he's stepped up that statement this year. During a June statement pinch President Joe Biden, Trump said migrants were taking "Black jobs" and "Hispanic jobs." The erstwhile president has besides pummeled some Biden and Harris complete inflation, arguing that nan economical image nether his management was acold amended for minorities.

Black unemployment nether some Biden and Trump hit lows that had not been seen successful decades. And nan erstwhile president is utilizing nan rumor arsenic a catalyst that could bring much minorities into nan GOP fold.

Trump has leaned into his nontraditional governmental persona arsenic he seeks to spot disconnected Black, Latino, and Asian support from Democrats. In May, he generated nan benignant of buzz that'd beryllium unheard of for virtually immoderate different Republican arsenic he held a rally successful nan Bronx. And contempt Harris' near-certain probability of winning New York, nan optics of having a rally astatine Madison Square Garden successful a bluish citadel conscionable days earlier nan predetermination only adds to Trump's narrative.

Swing-state voting shifts

In plaything states for illustration Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Republicans nary longer predominate suburban communities arsenic they did successful nan 1980s, 1990s, and passim overmuch of nan 2000s.

In 2020, Biden performed powerfully successful inner-ring suburbs extracurricular Atlanta, Detroit, and Philadelphia, respectively, while besides winning by landslides successful nan existent metropolis centers. Such margins allowed Biden to flooded Trump's advantage successful astir agrarian counties successful each state.

These populous metropolitan areas incorporate a important stock of nan ballot needed to triumph statewide, and with Republicans continuing to falter pinch suburban voters successful nan Trump era, nan erstwhile president will request to dress up nan votes elsewhere.

In 2020, Biden won 66% of municipality voters, compared to Trump's 33% support, according to nan Pew Research Center. Among suburban voters, Biden had a 54% to 43% advantage complete Trump.

Trump's attraction connected municipality rallies gives nan GOP added visibility successful areas wherever they mostly haven't moreover bothered to show up.

However, it besides reflects nan imaginable semipermanent shifts successful voting patterns that could hap successful nan 2024 election. If Trump grows his support among number males, past Republicans will hail his strategy. Still, it whitethorn not beryllium capable to conclusion Harris, arsenic nan statesmanlike title remains arsenic adjacent arsenic ever.