Trump with slight edge over Harris in this crucial western battleground: poll

With 2 weeks to spell until Election Day connected November 5, a caller canvass successful plaything authorities Nevada indicates a margin-of-error title betwixt Vice President Kamala Harris and erstwhile President Trump.

According to nan study by AARP, Trump edged Harris 49%-47% successful a head-to-head lucifer up for nan state's highly coveted six electoral votes. The Republican statesmanlike nominee holds an moreover slimmer 47%-46% one-point separator complete nan Democratic Party standard-bearer successful a afloat ballot pinch third-party candidates. The study is nan latest of apt voters to bespeak a coin-toss title successful Nevada.

As he runs to triumph backmost nan White House, Trump aims to go nan first GOP statesmanlike nominee to transportation Nevada since then-President George W. Bush successful his 2004 re-election victory. Trump narrowly mislaid nan Silver State successful some his 2016 White House triumph and successful his 2020 re-election nonaccomplishment to President Biden.

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Republican statesmanlike nominee and erstwhile President Donald Trump smiles during a Hispanic roundtable astatine Beauty Society connected October 12, 2024 successful North Las Vegas, Nevada.  (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

The AARP survey, conducted Oct. 8-15 and released connected Tuesday, indicates nan erstwhile president holding a constrictive advantage among independent voters. It besides points to a ample gender gap, pinch Trump up 18 points among men, while Harris leads women by 15 points.

Recent polls successful Nevada and crossed nan federation bespeak an erosion of support for Democrats among Latino voters, and according to nan AARP poll, Trump enjoys a flimsy lower-single digit separator complete Harris among those voters.

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Of note, nan study doesn't constituent to a ample acquisition divide.

"There is only a mini acquisition attainment gap, pinch Harris up 6-points pinch voters pinch assemblage degrees, and Trump up 5 among those without degrees," nan survey's merchandise highlights.

Democratic Presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris walks complete to Latino elector Ivett Castillo, who precocious mislaid her mother, during a Univision Town Hall successful Las Vegas, Nevada connected Thursday, October 10, 2024. (Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images) (Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

The canvass indicates Trump pinch a seven-point lead among voters 50+, and a four-point advantage among those property 65 and older.

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"With nan statesmanlike and legislature races truthful close, appealing to high-turnout older voters should beryllium a awesome privilege for each nan campaigns," AARP Nevada State Director Maria Moore emphasized. "If candidates want to triumph successful Nevada, they should attraction connected nan issues that matter to older voters, from protecting Social Security to supporting family caregivers and bringing down nan costs of necessities for illustration nutrient and housing."  

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump caller divided image  (Getty Images)

Nevada is 1 of 7 plaything states whose razor-thin margins decided Biden's 2020 predetermination triumph complete Trump and are apt to find if Harris aliases Trump wins nan 2024 White House race.

The Silver State is not only a statesmanlike battleground - it's besides location to a important Senate title that is 1 of a fistful that will determine if nan GOP wins backmost nan chamber's majority.

According to nan poll, Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen holds a five-point 49%-44% advantage complete Republican challenger Sam Brown.

The AARP canvass was conducted by nan bipartisan polling squad of Fabrizio Ward (Republican) & Impact Research (Democrat). The firms interviewed 1,368 apt voters successful Nevada. The survey's wide sampling correction is positive aliases minus 3.5 percent points.

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